Focused Thinking

Volatility

From hard policies to trade routes, the causes and effects of volatility are connected across the planet. To recognise the opportunities and risks, know how to pick the triggers to watch from the grey swans.

Central Banks
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MacroBrew – Global Economic Outlook 2022: The heat is on... for now

Our strategists share their top FX and rates views in 2022

30 min podcast | December 2021

Volatility
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MacroBrew - US Insights: Higher Inflation Ahead

Inflation expected to go higher in the near future, but will it last?

28 min podcast | October 2021

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Central Banks

MacroBrew – Europe Insights: Does the energy crisis mean higher inflation ahead?

The latest surge in energy prices and what it means for inflation?

26 min podcast | October 2021

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Volatility

MacroBrew – China Investor Forum: Beijing’s ‘Volcker Moment’

China’s curbs on the property sector likely mean sacrificing short-term stability, but could pave the way for Beijing to pursue long-term growth

28 min podcast | August 2021

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Volatility

VOW21: Best of Volatility of the World 2021

Key note presentations on 5 things you didn't know about ESG, the challenges facing post pandemic economies, the evolution of the sustainability mega-trend, and how pursuing ESG investments need not trash your portfolio.

2 min read | July 2021

Economics

Introducing Cassandra: Our Early Warning Model for Financial Crises

Cassandra is currently highlighting six economies – including the US, Japan and Germany – that could be subject to a financial crisis in the next 12 quarters.

2 min read | June 2021

Emerging Markets

Nomura Investment Forum Asia – Staying the Course With Asian Stocks Amid Near-Term Volatility

We expect strong earnings recovery this year for Asia ex-Japan equities and double-digit earnings growth in 2022.

2 min read | June 2021

Economics

Resilience of global M&A

Global M&A saw a marked increase in the wake of the pandemic, but is this rise here to stay, and if so in which sectors?

6 min read | June 2021

Economics

China: How the North/South Divide Highlights the Credit Risk Disparity

The widening north/south divide could result in a vicious cycle of rising defaults and slower growth in northern China. Though we do not expect a national crisis, markets should be prepared for more defaults.

4 min read | May 2021

Economics

China: We See No Fiscal Cliff in 2021

With factors such as a moderate 2020 stimulus, tighter controls on property market financing and planned tapering, we believe China’s economy is unlikely to overheat.

2 min read | April 2021

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Volatility

MacroBrew – FX Insights: RMB – Bullish beyond the year of the Ox?

We see two key longer-term factors supporting RMB appreciation.

30 min podcast | March 2021

Emerging Markets

China Financials: 2021F – A Year of Recovery

Under a potentially strong recovery, life insurers and banks in China are poised to enjoy the tailwinds of rising market interest rates.

2 min read | January 2021

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Central Banks

2021 Equities Outlook: ...it is more about 2022

In 2021, investors will likely focus on an eventual 2022 renormalization driven by potentially even better vaccines/therapeutics to help contain the spread of the virus.

17 min video | December 2020

Volatility

Biden gears up the US auto-industry to get back on a more sustainable track.

Given Biden's pledges to reform environmental policy what are the likely repercussions for the auto industry?

4 min read | December 2020

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