Focused Thinking
Central Banks
Increasing energy prices weigh on Europe and Asia, while the US remains largely insulated; energy exporters outside of the Middle East benefit from elevated prices
4 min read | March 2026
Economics
The region is at the epicenter of the energy security shock and faces potential stagflation, if disruptions persist beyond a month
4 min read | March 2026
Economics
Thailand, India, Korea and the Philippines are the most vulnerable to higher oil prices, due to their high import dependence, while Malaysia would be a relative beneficiary as an energy exporter
5 min read | March 2026
Economics
The Trump administration has announced a range of measures aimed at addressing affordability in the run up to this year’s midterm elections including housing, healthcare and consumer finances. In our view, these initiatives are unlikely to materially alter the near-term inflation outlook
6 min read | January 2026
Economics
A New Frontier in US-China Tensions
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
While the larger than expected reduction in reciprocal tariffs and 90-day freeze offers a temporary respite in US-China tensions, the 10% tariff floor and sluggish negotiations with other trading partners suggest the broader trade landscape remains challenging.
3 min read | May 2025
Economics
The cost pressure from tariffs is likely to push up the prices of both imported finished goods and domestically produced goods through the supply chain. We use an Input-Output table analysis to estimate the magnitude and composition of the cost-push shock.
4 min read | May 2025
Economics
Liberation Day tariffs to have different effects on different parts of the world
5 min read | April 2025
Economics
President Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement was more severe than expected. We have revised our inflation forecasts higher, our growth estimates lower, and continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold in the near term
3 min read | April 2025
Central Banks
US tariffs are likely to hamper European growth rather than cause an inflationary problem, making it more likely that European central banks further lower rates.
4 min read | February 2025
Economics
Singapore will develop strategies that align with national interests, said Sim Ann, Senior Minister of State, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of National Development of Singapore.
3 min read | June 2024
Economics
Singapore’s deputy prime minister believes that economic fundamentals in Asia makes for a great opportunity when balanced with prudent risk management.
4 min read | July 2023
Emerging Markets
The Russian invasion of Ukraine could provide the 'jolt' that gives renewables the scale needed to deliver the EU’s climate policies
2 min read | May 2022
Economics
What does 2021 hold for the USA?
3 min podcast | January 2021