Focused Thinking

Central Banks

Central Banks

What's on the horizon for the global economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2024 by region.

3 min read | December 2024

Central Banks

China Investor Forum: The Global Economic Outlook

We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.

6 min read | September 2024

Central Banks

Germany: Here Comes the Recession

We believe Germany is in recession and structural factors such as manufacturing competition from China and an ageing and shrinking workforce will lead to a period of stagnation.

4 min read | September 2024

Central Banks

US government debt is a silent problem until it is not

It is becoming more difficult to reduce the fiscal deficit, as government debt continues to climb and efforts to increase revenue through taxes remain stagnant.

5 min read | July 2024

Central Banks

Central banks and emerging markets push gold sky-high, says World Gold Council

Emerging market buyers have wrested control of the gold market from the West, said Mr. John Reade, Chief Market Strategist, World Gold Council.

4 min read | July 2024

Central Banks

BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting - Flexibility in the conduct of YCC is a policy change in practical terms

BOJ makes concessions for the uncertainty around inflation; Apr–Jun 2024 looks like a likely time for an end to YCC and NIRP

5 min read | August 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - NOK and SEK: Will Scandinavia Remain Under Pressure?

In this episode of our MacroBrew fireside podcast series, we talk with George Moran from the European Economics team about Norway and Sweden with their currencies trading near multi-year lows.

3 min read | May 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - Thailand: Who Will Form The Next Government?

In this MacroBrew fireside, we talk with Charnon Boonnuch from the Asia Economics team about Thailand after its recent election results.

26 min video | May 2023

Central Banks

Governor Ueda’s first meeting and Nomura’s BOJ monetary policy scenario

Four highlights of the BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting; Nomura’s main scenario pictures a YCC revision in or after June 2023 MPM

3 min read | May 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - The ECB and BoE: Fighting for The Last Hike

In this MacroBrew fireside, we discuss whether the ECB will really defy market pricing and look to raise rates above 4% this year, and what risks we should watch out for in Europe in 2023.

18 min video | April 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - US Debt Limit: Is It Worse Than 2011?

We discuss the US debt limit and what economic and monetary policy impact the uncertainty could have, as well as political risks and what it means for FX and rates markets.

47 min video | April 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - US: Is the Strong Data a Macro Game Changer or a Fade?

Our Cross-Asset Macro Strategist discusses whether the strong US data is a macro game changer.

42 min video | March 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - How Fast Has China's Reopening Been So Far?

Our Chief China Economist from the Asia economics team discusses whether China’s reopening is running full steam ahead.

28 min video | February 2023

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Central Banks

MacroBrew: Will the ECB be the Last Major Central Bank Hiking?

In this episode, we discuss European growth and the ECB policy outlook.

27 min video | January 2023

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