Focused Thinking

Emerging Markets

As the axis of global trade shifts, there are new connections that need to be understood. Emerging markets are continuing their path of development and becoming more central to global trade. Which countries will become closer and what are the connections between emerging markets’ progression, risks and opportunities?

Economics

Thailand hospitals poised for further expansion

More cash from the past three years, medical tourism, and high-intensity care to prop up expansion.

2 min read | May 2023

Economics

Damocles: Our Early Warning Indicator of EM Exchange Rate Crises

Our early warning model of EM exchange rate crises shows Egypt, Romania, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Czech Republic, Pakistan and Hungary are at risk

2 min read | November 2022

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Economics

Asia Macro in 30: Macro-financial vulnerabilities in Asia

With weak growth, higher interest rates, a stronger dollar and high leverage making a potent mix, hear from our economists as they discuss macro-financial vulnerabilities in Asia, zooming in on credit stress in South Korea and balance of payments concerns in Indonesia and the Philippines.

30 min podcast | November 2022

Emerging Markets

It Could Be a Different Story for Asian Equities in the Second Half

With a valuation cushion, Asian stocks are relatively insulated from a US stock sell-off

5 min read | June 2022

Emerging Markets

Russian Invasion of Ukraine to Turbocharge Renewables Deals

The Russian invasion of Ukraine could provide the 'jolt' that gives renewables the scale needed to deliver the EU’s climate policies

2 min read | May 2022

Economics

India: External shocks, stagflation risks and policy trade-offs

Just as India was crawling its way out of the pandemic, the conflict in Europe, a hawkish Fed and China shocks have reignited macro uncertainties.

5 min read | April 2022

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - Expert session: South Korea’s fiscal policy after the presidential election

We discuss impact of Covid-19 and fiscal response, outlook for fiscal sustainability in Korea and likely fiscal policy scenarios after the Presidential Elections.

58 min podcast | February 2022

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Economics

MacroBrew - Asia Outlook 2022: As the Tide Turns

Looking into 2022 - what to expect

60 min video | December 2021

Economics

Damocles: Our Early Warning Indicator of EM Exchange Rate Crises

Four countries – Egypt, Romania, Turkey and Sri Lanka – are currently at risk of a currency crisis with Damocles scores above 100.

3 min read | November 2021

Economics

Indonesia: Getting There on Tax Reforms

Tax reforms are expected to improve the government’s overall fiscal position, but does not address some longer term issues such as a high VAT coverage threshold.

3 min read | November 2021

Economics

The Covid-19 Endgame: Learning to Live With it

The endgame of Covid-19 leaves economists in a challenging position when making long-term forecasts. In many ways, the outlook is more complicated now than it was at the onset of the pandemic.

5 min read | November 2021

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Emerging Markets

MacroBrew - China Insights: Double shocks pose a risk of a growth double dip

In this Macrobrew@Nomura session we discuss China's outlook.

60 min video | October 2021

Economics

The “Troubled Ten” in EM

We warn of ten economies that appear most vulnerable: Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Peru, Hungary, Romania, Turkey, South Africa, Indonesia and the Philippines.

2 min read | September 2021

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Emerging Markets

MacroBrew - A conversation with BSP Governor Diokno

An outlook for the Philippines amid the latest Covid-19 wave, with guest speaker Benjamin Diokno, BSP Governor.

60 min video | September 2021

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