Focused Thinking

Americas

At Nomura, we are always looking for opportunities that are born out of connected ideas. Nomura Connects brings together all of our latest thinking and views into one connected place.
Central Banks

How Trump’s Tariffs May Impact European Growth

US tariffs are likely to hamper European growth rather than cause an inflationary problem, making it more likely that European central banks further lower rates.

4 min read | February 2025

Economics

Quality Investing as a Hedge to High US Equity Valuations

As investors weigh up whether US equities can defy gravity for another year, buying quality and selling junk stocks offers a hedge in the event of a downturn.

3 min read | February 2025

Annual Outlook

US 2025 Outlook: Trump’s Policies to Shape the Path Ahead

The policies of the incoming Trump administration are likely to drive the outlook for growth and inflation in 2025. We expect a ramp-up in tariffs early next year that leads to a pickup in inflation and slower investment growth partly offset by an extension of the Trump tax cuts and deregulation.

9 min read | January 2025

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum: Trump Win a Backlash Against Elites, Says Koo

The result of the 2024 US presidential election was not a win for Trump, but rather a loss for America’s elite, according to Richard Koo, Chief Economist, Nomura Research Institute

3 min read | December 2024

Rates

How Uncleared Margin Rules are Driving Demand for Equity Futures

Regulatory drivers combined with higher rates are reshaping a corner of the derivatives market

4 min read | December 2024

Economics

US Economic Weekly Update

Our weekly update of the developments and key themes around the US economy

1 min read | December 2024

Economics

Trump’s populist policies and the Triffin dilemma

The perceived safety of US dollar assets could be marred by Trump’s populist policies in his second presidency.

5 min read | November 2024

Economics

More Flexible Rules Spur Use of Bond Buybacks by Financial Firms

Regulatory clarifications have opened-up the market for bond buybacks, allowing financial firms to proactively manage upcoming refinancing of regulatory capital.

3 min read | November 2024

Economics

Where Euro Rates Volatility Has Outperformed the US Dollar

Interest rate rises triggering opposite effects in the euro versus the dollar volatility market have created new investment opportunities.

3 min read | October 2024

Economics

Positioning for a Q4 2024 bull run in equities

The highly volatile market environment calls for effective stock selection based on balancing fundamentals with momentum.

5 min read | October 2024

Central Banks

China Investor Forum: The Global Economic Outlook

We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.

6 min read | September 2024

Economics

Japan Cross-Shareholdings Enter a Dynamic New Era

As corporate governance reforms take hold in Japan, companies are changing how they manage some of their key business relationships.

4 min read | September 2024

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