Focused Thinking

Volatility

From hard policies to trade routes, the causes and effects of volatility are connected across the planet. To recognise the opportunities and risks, know how to pick the triggers to watch from the grey swans.

Economics

Liberation Day Tariff Policy Triggers Economic Forecast Revisions

President Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement was more severe than expected. We have revised our inflation forecasts higher, our growth estimates lower, and continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold in the near term

3 min read | April 2025

Central Banks

What's on the horizon for the global economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2025 by region.

3 min read | April 2025

Economics

Private Credit Boom Set to Continue Amid Surplus of Capital

The private credit market is rapidly evolving, with new players, products and rules set to help it reach a projected $2.64tn by 2029.

3 min read | March 2025

Economics

Quality Investing as a Hedge to High US Equity Valuations

As investors weigh up whether US equities can defy gravity for another year, buying quality and selling junk stocks offers a hedge in the event of a downturn.

3 min read | February 2025

Rates

How Uncleared Margin Rules are Driving Demand for Equity Futures

Regulatory drivers combined with higher rates are reshaping a corner of the derivatives market

4 min read | December 2024

Economics

Where Euro Rates Volatility Has Outperformed the US Dollar

Interest rate rises triggering opposite effects in the euro versus the dollar volatility market have created new investment opportunities.

3 min read | October 2024

Economics

The second wave of shocks in China

The shift by local governments from “helping hands” to “grabbing hands” should be taken seriously.

4 min read | September 2024

Central Banks

China Investor Forum: The Global Economic Outlook

We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.

6 min read | September 2024

Economics

Thematic investing deserves a place in your portfolio

Midstream energy infrastructure, space exploration, electric vehicles and health tech are themes of the future that can potentially enhance absolute returns.

4 min read | July 2024

Volatility

The Rise of Algo Trading in FX Markets

Calmer FX markets, liquidity fragmentation and the legacy of the pandemic are among the factors fuelling a new wave of algo usage.

3 min read | June 2024

Economics

Global economic outlook: Charting different courses

Economies around the world are recovering from the pandemic shock at varying tempos.

7 min read | June 2024

Economics

Advanced economy debt challenges are serious, says Carmen Reinhart

The combination of higher debt levels with higher interest rates and higher risks including geopolitical risks, is tailor-made for accidents.

3 min read | June 2024

Economics

The great reshuffle in global supply chains

Assessing China’s hidden trade with America.

3 min read | May 2024

Japan in focus

How Overseas Investors are Using Options to Play Japan Equities

Overseas investor interest in Japan’s resurgent growth story is boosting demand for equity derivatives on undervalued stocks as ongoing corporate governance reforms take the market higher.

3 min read | February 2024

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