Focused Thinking

Economics

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: Asia’s growth kaleidoscope

Don’t paint the entire region with the same brush. Growth divergence is likely, based on cyclical and structural outlooks.

4 min read | April 2024

Central Banks

What's on the horizon for the global economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2023 by region.

3 min read | April 2024

Economics

Repacks Rebooted: Insurers Turn to Structured Notes for Alpha

Repackaged notes are increasing in popularity as insurance companies seek to boost returns and offer more competitive policies to customers

3 min read | March 2024

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: Deciphering Asia’s capex cycles and trends

Leading indicators point to a cyclical improvement in the open economies, but we expect higher investment trends in India, the Philippines and Indonesia.

4 min read | March 2024

Economics

Swiftonomics: The economic power of superstar concerts

The economic impact of superstar concerts, such as Taylor Swift’s, is likely more local than macro.

4 min read | March 2024

Economics

China breweries angle for more premium, high-quality beer

Chinese consumer preference for higher-quality beer is an opportunity for breweries in the country.

2 min read | February 2024

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: Asia under Trumponomics 2.0

Increased protectionism, US-China decoupling, US macro policies, pivot from green energy and America First foreign policy could adversely impact many Asian economies.

5 min read | February 2024

Economics

Chinese pharma to ride on the global GLP-1 drugs bonanza

The Chinese market for GLP-1 drugs to treat diabetes and obesity could grow to US$11.4 billion by 2033.

2 min read | February 2024

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: Taylor rule estimates for Asia

A rules-based framework to project the trajectory of central bank policy rates suggests less easing than our forecasts in Korea and risks of deeper cuts in Thailand and China.

3 min read | January 2024

Annual Outlook

US 2024 Outlook – Slowdown, Recession and Last-Mile Inflation Risks Ahead?

US growth momentum is slowing following the surprising resilience in 2023. We expect real GDP growth to average close to zero for 2024, with a below-trend average of 1.3% in H1 ahead of a mild recession in H2.

8 min read | January 2024

Economics

US Economic Weekly Update

Our weekly update of the developments and key themes around the US economy

1 min read | January 2024

Annual Outlook

Europe 2024 Outlook – Will Inflation Get Back To Target?

We forecast a very benign recession in the Euro Area, lasting three quarters from Q3 2023, and lopping only 0.5% off GDP. In the UK, economic growth has slowed but remains resilient. We forecast only mild, and short, near-term recessions, with risks in both directions.

4 min read | December 2023

Annual Outlook

Asia Macro Outlook 2024: Positioned for outperformance

We expect Asia to outperform the US and Europe due to stronger fundamentals and a recovery in the goods cycle.

4 min read | December 2023

Annual Outlook

Nomura Investment Forum: Japan Macro Outlook 2024

Nomura’s Japan economists and strategists outline what’s on the horizon after a relatively strong year.

4 min read | December 2023

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