Focused Thinking

Economics

Central Banks

Germany: Here Comes the Recession

We believe Germany is in recession and structural factors such as manufacturing competition from China and an ageing and shrinking workforce will lead to a period of stagnation.

4 min read | September 2024

Economics

China’s increasing role in China+1

As economies diversify their supply chains to mitigate concentration risk, China has itself been busy expanding its manufacturing capabilities overseas.

4 min read | September 2024

Economics

Asia's new flying geese

Asia is the main beneficiary of the China-plus-one strategy, led by India, Vietnam and Malaysia, while Mexico is benefiting outside of Asia.

4 min read | June 2024