Focused Thinking
From hard policies to trade routes, the causes and effects of volatility are connected across the planet. To recognise the opportunities and risks, know how to pick the triggers to watch from the grey swans.
Central Banks
We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.
6 min read | September 2024
Economics
Midstream energy infrastructure, space exploration, electric vehicles and health tech are themes of the future that can potentially enhance absolute returns.
4 min read | July 2024
Volatility
Calmer FX markets, liquidity fragmentation and the legacy of the pandemic are among the factors fuelling a new wave of algo usage.
3 min read | June 2024
Economics
Economies around the world are recovering from the pandemic shock at varying tempos.
7 min read | June 2024
Economics
The combination of higher debt levels with higher interest rates and higher risks including geopolitical risks, is tailor-made for accidents.
3 min read | June 2024
Economics
Assessing China’s hidden trade with America.
3 min read | May 2024
Japan in focus
Overseas investor interest in Japan’s resurgent growth story is boosting demand for equity derivatives on undervalued stocks as ongoing corporate governance reforms take the market higher.
3 min read | February 2024
Economics
We now expect the Euro Area and UK to fall into recession. The latest survey data have been particularly weak, and lags in monetary policy, rising bankruptcies, plummeting demand for lending, and a poor global backdrop, all suggest it is only a matter of time until a recession materialises.
4 min read | September 2023
Volatility
Europe’s efforts to build up natural gas stores look set to pay dividends and shield it from supply shortages if a cold winter sets in.
3 min read | September 2023
Central Banks
In this episode of our MacroBrew fireside podcast series, we talk with George Moran from the European Economics team about Norway and Sweden with their currencies trading near multi-year lows.
3 min read | May 2023
Central Banks
In this MacroBrew fireside, we talk with Charnon Boonnuch from the Asia Economics team about Thailand after its recent election results.
26 min video | May 2023
Central Banks
In this MacroBrew fireside, we discuss whether the ECB will really defy market pricing and look to raise rates above 4% this year, and what risks we should watch out for in Europe in 2023.
18 min video | April 2023
Central Banks
We discuss the US debt limit and what economic and monetary policy impact the uncertainty could have, as well as political risks and what it means for FX and rates markets.
47 min video | April 2023
Central Banks
Our Cross-Asset Macro Strategist discusses whether the strong US data is a macro game changer.
42 min video | March 2023