Focused Thinking

Emerging Markets

As the axis of global trade shifts, there are new connections that need to be understood. Emerging markets are continuing their path of development and becoming more central to global trade. Which countries will become closer and what are the connections between emerging markets’ progression, risks and opportunities?

Emerging Markets
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Fireside Chats - Asia's Emerging Markets: The best of a bad bunch

The state of Asia's Emerging Markets and how they got there.

18 min podcast | July 2020

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Asia: Global Economic Outlook Post Covid-19

During our virtual Nomura Investment Forum Asia conference this year, our economists explain what the global economy is going to look like in light of Covid-19 and other global events such as the United States election.

3 min read | June 2020

Economics

Gauging the Risk of a Second Wave of Covid-19

We develop a visual tool to assess the risk of a Covid-19 second wave as economies reopen, applying it to 10 US states and 45 major economies.

2 min read | June 2020

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Emerging Markets

Fireside Chats - How are Asia's Emerging Markets supporting the bottom of the pyramid?

In this week’s episode Euben Paracuelles discusses how some Asia's EMs are coping with the impact of the COVID-19.

16 min podcast | May 2020

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Central Banks

Global Economic Outlook 2020: On Shaky Foundations

Global growth appears set to bottom out. However, we expect 2020 to be a year of global growth consolidation than a full-fledged recovery.

17 min video | January 2020

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Economics

Preparing for the Next Surge in Food Prices

After surging in 2010-11, global food prices have been on a downtrend, but this can quickly change.

5 min video | December 2019

Central Banks

India: A Difficult Climb Ahead

Contrary to our expectations of a recovery starting in Q3, high-frequency indicators have plunged and domestic credit conditions remain tight amid weak global demand. As a result, India’s economic recovery is expected to be delayed and the subsequent pickup is expected to be sub-par.

2 min video | November 2019

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Central Banks

Indonesia: The Return of Fiscal Conservatism

2 min video | October 2019

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Emerging Markets

Nomura's Commitment to Infrastructure and Power Finance

The Infrastructure and Power Finance (IPF) team is dedicated to providing capital solutions for energy, infrastructure and related assets.

2 min video | September 2019

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Central Banks

Asia Mid-Year Equities Outlook 2019

The major theme that we are expecting for the second half of 2019 is something the Japanese call “Naibu Henka”, which translates to “internal change”.

3 min video | July 2019

Central Banks

Are the Major Central Banks Trapped?

The policy reaction function of many of the world’s major central banks looks to have changed and a number have yet again made a dovish shift. We argue that these central banks could be “trapped” in an ultra-loose monetary policy stance and are losing their ability to normalize policy.

2 min read | July 2019

Economics

Damocles Update: Who is at Risk?

Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.

3 min podcast | July 2019

Emerging Markets

China Video Surveillance: Secure Ground in the Homeland

For video surveillance companies in China, we believe there are a few ways to increase sales growth momentum: the first is to expand the market from video surveillance to the more broad-based security product market by providing access control, intruder alarm systems and physical security and other security-related products and services.

2 min read | July 2019

Economics

US-China Trade Diversion: Who Benefits?

The ongoing and escalating US-China trade friction is no doubt negative for the world economy.

2 min read | June 2019

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