Basic strategy likely to involve shift to sectors with high intrinsic growth rate (alpha)
3 min read | April 2020
Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.
1 min read | April 2020
In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.
24 min podcast | April 2020
Our Chief Euro Area Economist George Buckley and FX Strategist Jordan Rochester discuss what the future holds for Europe under lockdown.
19 min podcast | April 2020
Our weekly update on the global economic impact Covid-19 has had on GDP, and provide their base, good and bad scenarios.
Japan's senior society facing severe economic cycle
3 min read | March 2020
Attention is focusing on the global IT cycle following the launch of commercial 5G services. Global semiconductor sales bottomed out in 2019 H1 and recovered in the summer.
4 min read | February 2020
Extending a long expansion
3 min read | February 2020
The top market moving events that should be on your radar. Including the US Presidential election, trade talks, rate cuts & QE, Brexit and budgets, and green shoots in market survey data.
5 min video | January 2020
New year, new decade, new risks?
2 min read | January 2020
Global growth appears set to bottom out. However, we expect 2020 to be a year of global growth consolidation than a full-fledged recovery.
17 min video | January 2020
How will the UK fair amongst some Brexit clarity, will 2020 be the year of recovery?
1 min read | January 2020
Will this New Year mean a New Brexit?
2 min video | January 2020
What's in store for the Euro Area as we move into 2020?
