During our virtual Nomura Investment Forum Asia conference this year, our economists explain what the global economy is going to look like in light of Covid-19 and other global events such as the United States election.
3 min read | June 2020
We develop a visual tool to assess the risk of a Covid-19 second wave as economies reopen, applying it to 10 US states and 45 major economies.
2 min read | June 2020
How have the Antipodes navigated COVID19 so well, and what are the next steps for their economy?
18 min podcast | May 2020
Different ways to think about the contraction and the long road to recovery
4 min read | May 2020
Basic strategy likely to involve shift to sectors with high intrinsic growth rate (alpha)
3 min read | April 2020
Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.
1 min read | April 2020
In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.
24 min podcast | April 2020
Our Chief Euro Area Economist George Buckley and FX Strategist Jordan Rochester discuss what the future holds for Europe under lockdown.
19 min podcast | April 2020
Our weekly update on the global economic impact Covid-19 has had on GDP, and provide their base, good and bad scenarios.
Japan's senior society facing severe economic cycle
3 min read | March 2020
Attention is focusing on the global IT cycle following the launch of commercial 5G services. Global semiconductor sales bottomed out in 2019 H1 and recovered in the summer.
4 min read | February 2020
Extending a long expansion
3 min read | February 2020
The top market moving events that should be on your radar. Including the US Presidential election, trade talks, rate cuts & QE, Brexit and budgets, and green shoots in market survey data.
5 min video | January 2020
New year, new decade, new risks?
2 min read | January 2020
